ORIX P (Germany) Performance

OIX Stock   25.40  0.40  1.55%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, ORIX P holds a performance score of 16. The company holds a Beta of 0.39, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ORIX P's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ORIX P is expected to be smaller as well. Please check ORIX P's total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether ORIX P's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ORIX P are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile basic indicators, ORIX P unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
3.5354
1
Orix Reports Strong First Half with Revenue Growth - GuruFocus
11/12/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow1.2 T
Free Cash Flow-57.5 B
  

ORIX P Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,160  in ORIX P on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  380.00  from holding ORIX P or generate 17.59% return on investment over 90 days. ORIX P is generating 0.2792% of daily returns and assumes 1.3388% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 12% of stocks are less volatile than ORIX, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ORIX P is expected to generate 1.78 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.78 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

ORIX P Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ORIX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.40 90 days 25.40 
about 16.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ORIX P to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.29 (This ORIX P probability density function shows the probability of ORIX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ORIX P has a beta of 0.39. This indicates as returns on the market go up, ORIX P average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ORIX P will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ORIX P has an alpha of 0.2558, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ORIX P Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ORIX P

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ORIX P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ORIX P's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.3025.6226.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8628.9730.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.0225.3426.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.8325.6226.41
Details

ORIX P Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ORIX P is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ORIX P's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ORIX P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ORIX P within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
1.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

ORIX P Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ORIX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ORIX P's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ORIX P's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Dividends Paid135.6 B

ORIX P Fundamentals Growth

ORIX Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ORIX P, and ORIX P fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ORIX Stock performance.

About ORIX P Performance

Assessing ORIX P's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into ORIX P's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the ORIX P is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
ORIX P is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on STU exchange.

Things to note about ORIX P performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ORIX P for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ORIX P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating ORIX P's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ORIX P's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ORIX P's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ORIX P's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ORIX P's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ORIX P's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ORIX P's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ORIX P's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ORIX P's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ORIX P's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ORIX P's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for ORIX Stock Analysis

When running ORIX P's price analysis, check to measure ORIX P's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ORIX P is operating at the current time. Most of ORIX P's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ORIX P's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ORIX P's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ORIX P to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.